Shifting sands: Navigating the new geopolitical landscape in 2024 – What to expect in 2024? Observer Research Foundation

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  • Shifting sands: Navigating the new geopolitical landscape in 2024 – What to expect in 2024? Observer Research Foundation

Global geopolitics is at a pivotal moment, facing the highest number of military conflicts since the Cold War. This escalation is felt worldwide, with significant hotspots affecting international relations on every continent. Two major conflicts will further dominate the landscape: the ongoing war in Ukraine, initiated by Russia, and the Israel-Hamas clash in the Middle East. While an end to these conflicts seems distant, there are emerging signs of potential diplomatic negotiations and the first ceasefire talks in 2024. Growing international pressure, notably from the Arab countries with the support of China and Russia, advocates for a two-state solution in the Middle East. In Ukraine, Russia’s unyielding ambition for complete subjugation will continue to threaten the regional stability of the European continent. The reduction in military aid and financial support by the West for Kyiv may lead to further territorial expansion by Moscow in the next year. In the Middle East, even a potential diplomatic resolution towards a two-state solution may not alleviate the direst humanitarian situation in the Gaza Strip, leaving the Palestinians with the colossal task of rebuilding in the years to come.


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