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Velina Tchakarova
Founder
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Harald Malmgren
Malmgren Institute LLC
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Jacek Bartosiak
Strategy & Future
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Analyst & reporting
Steel Strips Wheels Ltd
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Geopolitical Rise of India
Karoll JSC
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New School of Multilateralism
Ursula Werther-Pietsch
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Samir Saran
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Shaun Riordan
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Bronwyn Williams
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Rajiv Malhotra
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Robert Cutler
Consulting
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Research
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“Geopolitics is the art of understanding the world’s power dynamics based on the conundrum of geographical space.”
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And Iran?
While testifying today in front of the Senate Armed Services Committee, Gen. Alexus G. Grynkewich, the Commander of the U.S. European Command and Supreme Allied Commander Europe, said:
“What I've observed over the course of studying air power in history is that anytime you
The real character of a leader manifests when systemic crisis hits and yet they decide to stick to political correctness instead of taking unpopular and painful, but right decisions, while knowing that it will cost them their political career.
Iran is still able to export the same amount of oil to China while blocking the Strait of Hormuz for all other Gulf exporters and creating the worst systemic oil crisis in the world. @c_ultsch
For those who are not familiar with systemic risks, their multiplicative effects are devastating for underdeveloped states and welfare losses as they exceed the sum of their parts.
A study by Arndt et al. (2023) on simultaneous food, fuel and fertilizer price shocks found 50
SIMULTANEITY THESIS APPLIED: The defining condition of a systemic crisis is that multiple co-constitutive stressors compound faster than any single actor or institution can respond. In the context of the ongoing war in Iran, this condition is activated across six dimensions







