Online Geopolitical Webinar: China, Taiwan & the Indo-Pacific: Scenarios for 2026

China, Taiwan & the Indo-Pacific: Scenarios for 2026

Exclusive Online Geopolitical Webinar – Tuesday, December 23, 5:00–7:00 PM (CET)

What if the most decisive moves around Taiwan are not made through an invasion—but through sustained coercion, blockade dynamics, and economic warfare that reshape the global system long before a shot is fired?

This exclusive 2-hour online webinar unpacks China–Taiwan–Indo-Pacific geopolitics through first-hand insights from Taiwan and presents clear, scenario-based outlooks for 2026—politically, militarily, and economically.

What this webinar is about

In this live session, Velina Tchakarova will:

Share on-the-ground insights from two weeks in Taiwan, including conversations with local and Western representatives

Decode China’s Taiwan strategy beyond invasion narratives: pressure, timing, and coercion below the threshold of war

Analyse the US and allied deterrence posture in the Indo-Pacific—and where it holds or strains

Present structured scenarios for 2026: from managed confrontation to selective disruption and escalation shock

Connect Taiwan to Cold War 2.0, economic security, supply chains, and Europe’s strategic exposure

You will not get media hype or binary war narratives.
You will get reality-checked assessments, scenarios, and early-warning indicators for 2026.

Key questions we will address

How do Taiwanese decision-makers themselves assess China’s intentions and timelines?

Which signals indicate real escalation risk—and which are performative?

How likely are blockade or selective disruption scenarios compared to invasion?

What would a Taiwan crisis mean for shipping, insurance, chips, energy, and European markets?

Which indicators to watch in 2025–2026 to anticipate scenario shifts early?

This webinar is for you if you are:

A policy-maker, diplomat, or advisor dealing with Indo-Pacific or transatlantic strategy

A business leader, strategist, risk manager, or investor exposed to Asia or global supply chains


An analyst, journalist, or think-tanker seeking structured foresight beyond daily headlines

An engaged professional wanting a clear, sober outlook on where Taiwan is heading next

No prior expert knowledge required—but you will be treated as a serious audience.

Key Focus: Strategic Outlook for 2026

A dedicated part of the webinar presents a forward-looking geopolitical outlook for 2026, including:

Core Trends

Evolution of China’s coercive toolkit short of war

US alliance management under sustained Indo-Pacific pressure

Taiwan’s internal political and societal resilience

ASEAN hedging and regional fragmentation

Technology, export controls, and economic security spillovers

Main Scenarios (2026)

Managed Confrontation: High pressure, controlled escalation, persistent gray-zone coercion

Selective Disruption: Maritime pressure, shipping risk, insurance and market transmission

Escalation Shock: Rapid crisis with global economic consequences


What you will take away

By the end of the webinar, you will have:

A ground-truthed view of Taiwan—beyond Western echo chambers

Three concrete scenarios for 2026, with triggers, timelines, and risks

A set of early-warning indicators to track escalation and disruption

Clear implications for Europe, markets, supply chains, and strategic planning

Access to summary slides and scenario takeaways (PDF) after the session

Format & Practical Details

Date: Tuesday, December 23
Time: 5:00–7:00 PM (CET)
Format: Live online webinar + Q&A
Language: English
Recording: Participants receive 24 hours later the access to the recording, after registering for the event

About the Speaker

Velina Tchakarova is a Vienna-based geopolitical strategist and founder of FACE (For A Conscious Experience). She is known for her early and consistent analysis of Cold War 2.0 between the Transatlantic bloc and the DragonBear (China–Russia) axis, and for her scenario-based approach to global conflict dynamics.

In December, she conducted first-hand field engagement in Taiwan, complementing her ongoing work with governments, institutions, investors, and corporate leaders across Europe and beyond.