SubstackBlog
Insights, analysis, and perspectives on global geopolitics from Velina Tchakarova.
Showing 1–9 of 120 articles
SubstackThe Triangle of Happiness: Guardrails for a dangerous world
The strongest signal of the past 48 hours is that both Washington and Beijing have endorsed a “constructive relationship of strategic stability.” The White House used that formulation in its account of the Xi–Trump summit, on the basis of respect, fairness and reciprocity; China has called for turning the vision into action.
Read on Substack ↗Global System Rupture Watch
The past 24 hours point to a world in which the infrastructure of interdependence, from energy chokepoints, fuel markets, to shipping routes, critical inputs and alliance commitments, is being converted into leverage.
Read on Substack ↗US-Denmark Deal on Greenland
Read the US-Denmark deal on Greenland published today.
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SubstackOne Allocation Crisis, Three Channels
Energy, freight, and food under the Global System Rupture framework
Read on Substack ↗The Global System Rupture
The Global System Rupture risk is now a compound feedback loop:
Read on Substack ↗Global System Rupture Brief
Today's news points to a more concrete form of systemic stress: not an immediate collapse in global supply, but a growing shortage of the physical, financial and political capacity needed to keep trade, energy and strategic competition functioning at once.
Read on Substack ↗Today‘s signal
oday‘s Global System Rupture signal: Market sources reported that Saudi Aramco had allocated no October term crude to European buyers, following earlier cancellations and deferrals of some September cargoes after the East–West pipeline attack disrupted Yanbu exports.
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