Blog

My viral post on the Global System Rupture as the possible fourth systemic risk-driven global crisis was quotes by India Today which has millions of readers.

Russia's plan to make the Northern Sea Route the backbone of a broader Trans-Arctic Transport Corridor fits squarely into my new Cold War framework of strategic competition between the United States and the DragonBear: Moscow calculates that China has a strong incentive to support its Polar Silk Road as a hedge against dependence on vulnerable, US-controlled Indo-Pacific sea lanes linking China to the Middle East and Europe.

The simultaneous escalation of two interconnected proxy conflicts, Ukraine and Iran, raises the systemic cost for all three major powers.

Germany assesses that Russia was responsible for the foiled 4 August drone attack at Leipzig/Halle Airport.

3 September 2026 | 18:00–20:00 CET | 120 minutes

The Triangle of Happiness

Geopolitics and security

On August 31 in Bishkek, Vladimir Putin is scheduled to hold talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping.