Description
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China, Taiwan & the Indo-Pacific: Scenarios for 2026
Exclusive Online Geopolitical Webinar – Tuesday, December 23, 5:00–7:00 PM (CET)
What if the most decisive moves around Taiwan are not made through an invasion—but through sustained coercion, blockade dynamics, and economic warfare that reshape the global system long before a shot is fired?
This exclusive 2-hour online webinar unpacks China–Taiwan–Indo-Pacific geopolitics through first-hand insights from Taiwan and presents clear, scenario-based outlooks for 2026—politically, militarily, and economically.
What this webinar is about
In this live session, Velina Tchakarova will:
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Share on-the-ground insights from two weeks in Taiwan, including conversations with local and Western representatives
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Decode China’s Taiwan strategy beyond invasion narratives: pressure, timing, and coercion below the threshold of war
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Analyse the US and allied deterrence posture in the Indo-Pacific—and where it holds or strains
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Present structured scenarios for 2026: from managed confrontation to selective disruption and escalation shock
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Connect Taiwan to Cold War 2.0, economic security, supply chains, and Europe’s strategic exposure
You will not get media hype or binary war narratives.
You will get reality-checked assessments, scenarios, and early-warning indicators for 2026.
Key questions we will address
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How do Taiwanese decision-makers themselves assess China’s intentions and timelines?
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Which signals indicate real escalation risk—and which are performative?
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How likely are blockade or selective disruption scenarios compared to invasion?
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What would a Taiwan crisis mean for shipping, insurance, chips, energy, and European markets?
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Which indicators to watch in 2025–2026 to anticipate scenario shifts early?
This webinar is for you if you are:
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A policy-maker, diplomat, or advisor dealing with Indo-Pacific or transatlantic strategy
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A business leader, strategist, risk manager, or investor exposed to Asia or global supply chains
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An analyst, journalist, or think-tanker seeking structured foresight beyond daily headlines
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An engaged professional wanting a clear, sober outlook on where Taiwan is heading next
No prior expert knowledge required—but you will be treated as a serious audience.
Key Focus: Strategic Outlook for 2026
A dedicated part of the webinar presents a forward-looking geopolitical outlook for 2026, including:
Core Trends
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Evolution of China’s coercive toolkit short of war
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US alliance management under sustained Indo-Pacific pressure
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Taiwan’s internal political and societal resilience
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ASEAN hedging and regional fragmentation
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Technology, export controls, and economic security spillovers
Main Scenarios (2026)
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Managed Confrontation: High pressure, controlled escalation, persistent gray-zone coercion
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Selective Disruption: Maritime pressure, shipping risk, insurance and market transmission
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Escalation Shock: Rapid crisis with global economic consequences
What you will take away
By the end of the webinar, you will have:
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A ground-truthed view of Taiwan—beyond Western echo chambers
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Three concrete scenarios for 2026, with triggers, timelines, and risks
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A set of early-warning indicators to track escalation and disruption
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Clear implications for Europe, markets, supply chains, and strategic planning
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Access to summary slides and scenario takeaways (PDF) after the session
Format & Practical Details
Date: Tuesday, December 23
Time: 5:00–7:00 PM (CET)
Format: Live online webinar + Q&A
Language: English
Recording: Participants receive 24 hours later the access to the recording, after registering for the event
About the Speaker
Velina Tchakarova is a Vienna-based geopolitical strategist and founder of FACE (For A Conscious Experience). She is known for her early and consistent analysis of Cold War 2.0 between the Transatlantic bloc and the DragonBear (China–Russia) axis, and for her scenario-based approach to global conflict dynamics.
In December, she conducted first-hand field engagement in Taiwan, complementing her ongoing work with governments, institutions, investors, and corporate leaders across Europe and beyond.
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